4 days until the oh so sacred day known as Selection Sunday…
*Teams who have clinched an NCAA automatic bid: Austin Peay, Belmont, Cornell, Butler, Drake, Siena, Winthrop, Oral Roberts, Western Kentucky, San Diego, Davidson, George Mason
*All bubble teams breathed a sigh of relief last night as Cleveland State was unable to pull of the upset and beat Butler. Regardless of the fact, it was still a tremendous year for the Vikings from Ohio.
*Western Kentucky won the Sun Belt conference tournament last night beating out Middle Tennessee State. The winner of this game didn’t matter to pretty much every bubble team…except one. That one is South Alabama. The Hilltoppers were not going to get an at-large bid if they were to lose. South Alabama, however, needed them to win so now instead of having 1 win vs the RPI top 50, they now have 3, having beaten Western Kentucky twice and Mississippi State. This keeps South Alabama in the mix…but does not make them lock as their RPI took a big hit after they lost to Middle Tennessee State.
*Syracuse and Villanova play at 12pm today in the 1st round of the Big East tournament at Madison Square Garden. The loser of this game will be in the NIT. The winner of this game is NOT guaranteed a bid, but it does put them in good shape…especially if it is Syracuse, who has the better computer numbers.
*Last year, there were 3 teams with an RPI in the top 40 that did not make the NCAA tourney: Bradley, Missouri State and Air Force. All mid-major schools. So, an RPI in the top 40 does not guarantee you a bid…especially if you have not beaten anybody real good or lose in the 1st round of your conference tournament.
*If a bubble team loses in the 1st round of their conference tournament…they are done. West Virginia should be in, but I still think a win over Providence is essential. A loss to them would probably drop their RPI out of the top 40. They have 3 solid wins: Marquette, Pittsburgh and Syracuse…all at home though. A Syracuse win over Villanova will help the Mountaineers as well.
*In the Pac-10, if Arizona loses to Oregon State then they won’t deserve to make the tournament. Oregon…if you lose in the 1st round you’re done. Arizona State plays USC. This will be a tough one. A win over USC will, in my opinion, lock the Sun Devils up for a bid for it will be their 6th win over the RPI top 50. They have a terrible RPI, but remember, Stanford made the tourney last year with an RPI of 65.
*Here are the teams who, with a loss today, will be all but eliminated from making the NCAA tournament: Syracuse, Villanova, Dayton, St. Joseph’s, Arizona and maybe West Virginia. At least one of these teams will be done as Cuse plays Nova…will any of the other’s bubbles burst today?
*South Alabama receives an at-large bid for now. If Syracuse beats Villanova today, that spot will then belong to the Orange.
*New Teams in the Bracks: San Diego, Western Kentucky, Utah State, Stephen F. Austin
*Teams Removed from the Bracks: Illinois State, Syracuse, Boise State, Lamar
Last 4 teams in: Ohio State, Oregon, South Alabama, Dayton
First 4 teams out: Syracuse, Illinois State, Mississippi, Villanova
We are coming down the stretch…
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